Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: United Kingdom
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
United Kingdom 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleDec 1, 21, 12:00 AMDec 25, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Poland0%
United Kingdom100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether Poland or the the named outcome will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on December 24, 2021.
- This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for Poland and the the named outcome, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer.
- The resolution source will be reviewed on December 25th at 11 PM ET and - if the data for December 24 will not be available then - checked again every 12 hours, until the final check on December 30, 11 PM ET.
- If the data is not available by then, this market will resolve based on other credible sources for the day of December 24.
- If Poland has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of December 24, 2021, the market will resolve to "Poland." If the the named outcome has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of December 24, 2021, the market will resolve to "the named outcome." If the averages per capita are the same, the market will resolve 50/50. --------------------
- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide.