Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane?
Weather
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Sep 8, 2023, 7:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleSep 6, 23, 4:38 PMSep 30, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Lee is designated Category 5 (a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph) at any point according to official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).
- If Lee dissipates without ever becoming a Category 5 hurricane, this market will resolve to "No."
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" based on any initial advisory released by the NHC that Lee has become a Category 5 hurricane regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+81.0pt95.2%
- 89° or above1%
- 83° to 84°-51.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $401.4K
- 24h Vol
- $383.6K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+18.0pt99%
- Denver+11.0pt60%
- Oklahoma City+2.0pt14%
+17 more outcomes
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- $233.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+42.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-31.0pt1%
- 94° to 95°-11.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- 78° or below+47.0pt94.2%
- 79° to 80°-34.0pt1.9%
- 81° to 82°-8.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 84 F on August 25, 2026?
- No90%
- Yes10%
- Total Vol
- $60.7K
- 24h Vol
- $60.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+56.0pt95.2%
- 82° to 83°-20.0pt1%
- 78° to 79°-25.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane? resolve?
- Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2023.
- How is Will Lee become a Category 5 hurricane? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Lee is designated Category 5 (a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph) at any point according to official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).