What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17??

Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Apr 25, 2023, 8:20 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

17 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Bid / Ask

0.0% / 100.0%

Spread

100.0 pt

Wide spread

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Apr 10, 23, 9:48 PMApr 18, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 42.6% for the day of April 17, 2023.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the datapoint for April 17 as soon as a datapoint for April 18 becomes available.
This market may not resolve until the April 18 datapoint is available.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Apr 25, 2023, 8:20 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

17 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Bid / Ask

0.0% / 100.0%

Spread

100.0 pt

Wide spread

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Apr 10, 23, 9:48 PMApr 18, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 42.6% for the day of April 17, 2023.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the datapoint for April 17 as soon as a datapoint for April 18 becomes available.
This market may not resolve until the April 18 datapoint is available.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17??: Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
When does Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17? resolve?: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17? is scheduled to resolve on April 18, 2023.
How is Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 42.6% for the day of April 17, 2023.