What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12??

Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Dec 13, 2023, 5:31 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Dec 6, 23, 4:13 PMDec 13, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 38.0% for the day of December 12, 2023.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 12 as soon as a datapoint for December 13 becomes available.
This market may not resolve until the December 13 datapoint is available.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Dec 13, 2023, 5:31 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Dec 6, 23, 4:13 PMDec 13, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 38.0% for the day of December 12, 2023.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 12 as soon as a datapoint for December 13 becomes available.
This market may not resolve until the December 13 datapoint is available.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12??: Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
When does Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? resolve?: Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? is scheduled to resolve on December 13, 2023.
How is Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 38.0% for the day of December 12, 2023.