Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Dec 13, 2023, 5:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 38.0% for the day of December 12, 2023.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 12 as soon as a datapoint for December 13 becomes available.
- This market may not resolve until the December 13 datapoint is available.