Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Nov 24, 2023, 6:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between November 15 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period.
- If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET).
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.