Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Nov 16, 2023, 8:18 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleNov 1, 23, 10:03 PMNov 15, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between October 31 and November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? resolve?
- Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? is scheduled to resolve on November 15, 2023.
- How is Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between October 31 and November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.