Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Nov 16, 2023, 8:18 AM

Provider-verified resolution

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Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 179 days ago

Stale

Nov 1, 23, 10:03 PM UTCNov 15, 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between October 31 and November 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions