Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Germany
Limited resolution evidence
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Current implied probability
Germany 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 8, 21, 12:00 AMNov 19, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Germany100%
Poland0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether Germany or Poland will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18, 2021.
- This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for Germany and Poland, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer.
- The resolution source will be checked on November 19th at 11 PM ET and - if the data for November 18 will not be available then - checked again every 12 hours, until the final check on November 24, 2021, 11 PM ET.
- If the data is not available by then, this market will resolve based on other credible sources.
- If Germany has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of November 18, 2021, the market will resolve to "Germany." If Poland has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of November 18, 2021, the market will resolve to "Poland." If the averages per capita are the same, the market will resolve 50/50. --------------------
- OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide.