Will gas hit __ by end of April?
1.1 pts (24h)
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
↑ $4.15 100%+1.0ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.5K
Liquidity
$506.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-3.9 pts
Market data
Updated 87 days ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 3:14 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· ↑ $4.15
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $5.5K | $506.1K | 87 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets85% match · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | 88 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will gas hit ___ by end of April?
Closed
99%
1%
1%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast65 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
- Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
- Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".