Will gas hit ___ by end of April?
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, 1:23 PM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecastAbove $4.25 99%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
65
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 88 days ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 1:07 AMApr 30, 26, 11:59 PM
99%
1%
1%
0.1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Above $4.25
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $5.5K | $506.1K | 87 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 99% | — | — | — | 88 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Will gas hit __ by end of April?
1.1 ptsClosed
+1.0pt100%
+10.8pt100%
100%
+9 more outcomes
38 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$446.4K
24h Vol$5.5K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
- Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
- Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".