Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: May 1, 2023, 12:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleApr 25, 23, 10:15 PMApr 30, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if First Republic Bank fails between April 25, 2023 and April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC, government entities, and a consensus of credible reporting on FDIC receivership/FDIC-determined failure of the bank will suffice.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? resolve?
- Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2023.
- How is Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if First Republic Bank fails between April 25, 2023 and April 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List").