When does Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? resolve?

Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.

Will $ETH moon after Shanghai?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Apr 22, 2023, 10:34 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 186 days ago

Stale

Mar 27, 23, 11:29 PM UTCDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1 week after the Shanghai Upgrade, the price of $ETH is at least 3% more than it was at the time of the upgrade.

Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."
"1 week after the Shanghai Upgrade" is defined by exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the Shanghai Upgrade.
The Shanghai upgrade refers to the the hard fork implementing EIP-4895.
If the Shanghai Upgrade does not occur by December 31, 2023, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, namely the 1 minute candle close prices which encapsulate the Shanghai Upgrade time and 1 week after.