What are the current odds for Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30??

Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Nov 2, 2023, 3:18 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Oct 31, 23, 4:56 PMNov 30, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Nov 2, 2023, 3:18 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Oct 31, 23, 4:56 PMNov 30, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30??: Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? resolve?: Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2023.
How is Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.