Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Aug 24, 2023, 9:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleAug 23, 23, 7:59 PMAug 23, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ron DeSantis wins the first republican debate.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve according to 538's 5-point scale post-debate poll for how the candidates fared.
- If DeSantis ties for first on the scale (e.g. he ties for first with 4.2), this market will still resolve to "Yes."
- For the pre-debate poll, not considered for this market, see https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/republican-debate-august-poll/.
- If 538 becomes permanently unavailable or does not provide this information by August 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? resolve?
- Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? is scheduled to resolve on August 23, 2023.
- How is Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ron DeSantis wins the first republican debate.