Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleDec 13, 22, 12:00 AMMar 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison, former CEO of Alameda Research, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between December 13, 2022 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that reporting of sealed charges before the resolution date will suffice to resolve the market to "Yes."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States (from sources such as https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel, https://www.justice.gov/news), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? resolve?
- Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2023.
- How is Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison, former CEO of Alameda Research, is indicted on federal charges or otherwise formally charged with any federal crime by the United States of America between December 13, 2022 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.