Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by July 31?
25.0% (24h)ExchangeOne-OffTechEquitiesCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate28d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability↑$575B 53%-25.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$10K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
44.0% / 61.0%
Spread
38.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 11:14 PMAug 1, 26, 6:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
↑$575B53%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if ByteDance's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.