Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Sep 14, 2023, 11:19 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJul 31, 23, 7:27 PMNov 16, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
In Response to Trader Inquiry: "If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers" means if Barbie and Oppenheimer stop reporting any numbers or updates *permanently* - that is, if the studios still report infrequent updates, it will not satisfy the condition.
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the top-grossing film in domestic box office records, with total receipts of $936,662,225 according to BoxOfficeMojo.
- For the purposes of this market, "Barbenheimer" represents the combined domestic box office grosses of 'Barbie' (2023) and 'Oppenheimer' (2023) on BoxOfficeMojo.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barbenheimer's domestic box office gross exceeds $936,662,225 by November 16, 2023.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers before November 16, 2023, and the total gross is still less than Star Wars, the market may resolve to "No."
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? resolve?
- Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? is scheduled to resolve on November 16, 2023.
- How is Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In Response to Trader Inquiry: "If both Barbie and Oppenheimer definitively stop reporting numbers" means if Barbie and Oppenheimer stop reporting any numbers or updates *permanently* - that is, if the studios still report infrequent updates, it will not satisfy the condition.