What are the current odds for Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023??

Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.

Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:02 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Oct 9, 23, 11:36 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, maintains his position as the Supreme Leader from the time of this market's creation until 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2023.

The market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer in his position as the Supreme Leader of Iran at any point during this same time period.
The resolution will be based on reputable global news sources.
In the event of a dispute, the final decision will be made by referencing the official statements from the government of Iran.
If the event of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei no longer serving as Supreme Leader occurs before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:02 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Oct 9, 23, 11:36 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Rules

The market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer in his position as the Supreme Leader of Iran at any point during this same time period.
The resolution will be based on reputable global news sources.
In the event of a dispute, the final decision will be made by referencing the official statements from the government of Iran.
If the event of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei no longer serving as Supreme Leader occurs before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023??: Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
When does Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? resolve?: Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
How is Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, maintains his position as the Supreme Leader from the time of this market's creation until 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2023.