Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna, or Johnson & Johnson Janssen COVID-19 vaccines receive full FDA approval on or before December 1, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be the FDA’s official list of approved vaccines, https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states, as well as any official FDA announcements that any of the three listed vaccines has received full FDA approval.
- In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).