Will another US bank fail in March?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Mar 13, 2023, 1:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleMar 10, 23, 12:00 AMMar 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a second US bank fails between March 1, 2023 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will another US bank fail in March??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Will another US bank fail in March? resolve?
- Will another US bank fail in March? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2023.
- How is Will another US bank fail in March? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a second US bank fails between March 1, 2023 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."