What are the current odds for Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 24, 2026.

Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Feb 16, 2023, 7:16 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

17 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Bid / Ask

0.0% / 100.0%

Spread

100.0 pt

Wide spread

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Feb 15, 23, 12:00 AMFeb 15, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another flying object over North America is reported destroyed or downed by the United States on February 15, 2023, between 12:00:00 AM ET and 11:59:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will only resolve "Yes" if a new destruction or downing of a flying object is reported on within this market's timeframe, and the downing occurred within this market's timeframe.
If a flying object is destroyed/downed within the market's timeframe but is only reported on after this market's expiration, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market - this market will immediately resolve to "No" if there are no reports by 11:59:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Report a data issue with this market

Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Feb 16, 2023, 7:16 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

17 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Bid / Ask

0.0% / 100.0%

Spread

100.0 pt

Wide spread

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Feb 15, 23, 12:00 AMFeb 15, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another flying object over North America is reported destroyed or downed by the United States on February 15, 2023, between 12:00:00 AM ET and 11:59:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will only resolve "Yes" if a new destruction or downing of a flying object is reported on within this market's timeframe, and the downing occurred within this market's timeframe.
If a flying object is destroyed/downed within the market's timeframe but is only reported on after this market's expiration, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market - this market will immediately resolve to "No" if there are no reports by 11:59:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
When does Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15? resolve?: Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15? is scheduled to resolve on February 15, 2023.
How is Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if another flying object over North America is reported destroyed or downed by the United States on February 15, 2023, between 12:00:00 AM ET and 11:59:59 PM ET.