What are the current odds for Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

May 12, 21, 12:00 AMMay 12, 21, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This is a market on the hammer price of Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe (Feldman & Schellman II.22-31)” (Lot 126) auction at Sotheby’s, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2021.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final hammer price exceeds $3 million, and “No” otherwise.
The market will resolve according to the hammer price as listed on the official Sotheby’s auction website (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2021/contemporary-art-evening-auction/marilyn-monroe-feldman-schellman-ii-22-31).
In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Report a data issue with this market

Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

May 12, 21, 12:00 AMMay 12, 21, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This is a market on the hammer price of Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe (Feldman & Schellman II.22-31)” (Lot 126) auction at Sotheby’s, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2021.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final hammer price exceeds $3 million, and “No” otherwise.
The market will resolve according to the hammer price as listed on the official Sotheby’s auction website (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2021/contemporary-art-evening-auction/marilyn-monroe-feldman-schellman-ii-22-31).
In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? resolve?: Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? is scheduled to resolve on May 12, 2021.
How is Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market on the hammer price of Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe (Feldman & Schellman II.22-31)” (Lot 126) auction at Sotheby’s, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2021.