Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Aug 30, 2023, 10:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleAug 1, 23, 5:02 PMAug 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL
- This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? resolve?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2023.
- How is Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".