When does Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? resolve?

Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2023.

Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jul 2, 2023, 8:16 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 180 days ago

Stale

May 3, 23, 8:55 PM UTCJul 1, 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a fourth US bank fails in 2023 by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List").

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market may only resolve to "No" 24 hours past the end time (July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET) to allow for the Failed Bank List to potentially update.
The date on the list must be June 30 or before for the market to resolve to "Yes."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/