Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJul 22, 22, 12:00 AMAug 3, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET.
- This market can only resolve after this check has been performed.
- If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET.
- If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day.