What are the current odds for Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Aug 18, 21, 12:00 AMDec 31, 21, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3 or more papers which were published in academic journals (e.g.

Note: only full article retractions will count toward the total number of retractions.
Corrections and partial retractions will not be counted.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Report a data issue with this market

Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Aug 18, 21, 12:00 AMDec 31, 21, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3 or more papers which were published in academic journals (e.g.

Note: only full article retractions will count toward the total number of retractions.
Corrections and partial retractions will not be counted.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? resolve?: Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2021.
How is Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3 or more papers which were published in academic journals (e.g.