Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleMay 19, 21, 12:00 AMJun 10, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether 170 million people in The United States of America will have initiated vaccination, according to the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, June 10, 2021, 8:00 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if 170 million people or more are listed as having received their initial dose of vaccination by the resolution source.
- This only concerns the first dose of vaccination.
- For vaccines requiring two doses for inoculation, this market considers only the first dose as having initiated vaccination.
- This market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, fewer than 170 million people have initiated vaccination by the resolution date.
- The resolution source for this market will be the official data published by the CDC available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations.