Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
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Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether 100 million people in The United States of America will have initiated vaccination, according to the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, April 1, 2021, 12 PM EST / 1 PM EDT.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if 100 million people or more are listed as having received their initial dose of vaccination by the resolution source.
- This only concerns the first dose of vaccination.
- For vaccines requiring two doses for inoculation, this market considers only the first dose to be considered having initiated vaccination.
- This market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, fewer than 100 million people have initiated vaccination by the resolution date.
- The resolution source for this market will be the official data published by the CDC available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations