PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: San Francisco, CA
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 8:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
San Francisco, CA
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
San Francisco, CA100%
Seattle, WA48%
Atlanta, GA0%
Boston, MA0%
Chicago, IL0%
Dallas, TX0%
Houston, TX0%
Los Angeles, CA0%
Miami, FL0%
New Orleans, LA0%
New York, NY0%
Philadelphia, PA0%
Phoenix, AZ0%
Washington, DC0%
San Francisco, CAWon
Atlanta, GALost
Boston, MALost
Chicago, ILLost
Dallas, TXLost
Houston, TXLost
Los Angeles, CALost
Miami, FLLost
New Orleans, LALost
New York, NYLost
Philadelphia, PALost
Phoenix, AZLost
Seattle, WALost
Washington, DCLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 22, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
- A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
- The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
- The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time.