PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityProtect America / Save America 100%+21.4%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.2% / 100.0%
Spread
0.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 11, 26, 4:00 AMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Graham / Platner92%
Compare venues· Cuba / Cuban
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall68% match · auto | High | 66% | 0pt | $185.6K | $235.6K | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | High | 74% | +8pt | $3.1K | $5.1K | 21 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
What will Trump say this week?
69.0%5d
+69.0%99%
+28.0%99%
+24.0%99%
+27 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$259.8K
24h Vol$185.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Written usages of terms (e.g.
- Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$3.1kJul 114d of dataJul 14
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Written usages of terms (e.g.
- Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf