US bank failure in February?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Mar 1, 2024, 7:04 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between February 1 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be in February 2024.
- If there is a potential bank failure in February and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.