US bank failure in February?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Mar 1, 2024, 7:04 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleFeb 1, 24, 4:46 PMFeb 29, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between February 1 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be in February 2024.
- If there is a potential bank failure in February and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US bank failure in February??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does US bank failure in February? resolve?
- US bank failure in February? is scheduled to resolve on February 29, 2024.
- How is US bank failure in February? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between February 1 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List").