PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, 8:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 10, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Up
- Recorded
- Jul 10, 2026, 11:44 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleJul 9, 26, 12:00 PMJul 10, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Up
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $2.9K | $0 | 16 days ago | |
 LimitlessMost active85% match · auto | Low | 96% | — | $191K | $0 | 17 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (95.7%)
95.7%
4.3%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$195.6K
24h Vol$191K
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- (TSLA) on July 10, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- (TSLA) on July 10, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2.9kJul 102d of dataJul 11
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- (TSLA) on July 10, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- (TSLA) on July 10, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Tesla, Inc.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.