PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 10:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Up
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 10:34 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 2:25 PMJul 28, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 282d of dataJul 29
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on July 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on July 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.