Current implied probability
Hikaru Nakamura 53%+3.5ptLeader of 66 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$254.7
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
84.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 4:31 PMSep 9, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
- If this tournament is postponed after September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Aleksei Sarana 56% · 2 venues · 38 pt band
- Also available on Kalshi — Titled Tuesday Top 5: Aug 25 · Arjun Erigaisi 20%
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy+12.6pt17.1%
- Wyndham Clark+8.5pt10.5%
- Chris Gotterup+7.3pt9.5%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $44.5M
- 24h Vol
- $20.8M
POLYMARKETLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
- Game 1 Winner+63.5pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+54.5pt100%
- Odd/Even Total Kills+50.0pt100%
+33 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- O/U 2.5 Games+55.5pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+35.0pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+34.0pt100%
+33 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- 1 Winner+39.0pt87%
- O/U 2.5 Games+13.5pt67%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+14.5pt65%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- Match Winner+61.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+49.5pt100%
- 1 Winner+59.5pt100%
+24 more outcomes
KALSHIEngland vs Pakistan
- England+7.0pt98%
- Pakistan-3.0pt1%
- Draw/Tie-3.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- MLB: Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers (Aug 20, 2026)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- BMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- T1 vs. KT Rolster
- MLB: Athletics vs Kansas City Royals (Aug 20, 2026)
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Steiner vs Yamalapalli
- Pro Baseball Champion
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 25?
- Polymarket prices Hikaru Nakamura at 53% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 25 resolve?
- Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 25 is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 25 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 25, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer.
- Where else is Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 25 listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.