SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?

7,575 or above: 1%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?

Up: 48%

S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$4.1K

7,575 to 7,599.9999: 7%

Nasdaq-100 price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$3.9K

27,899.99 or below: 4%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?

$3.3K

Up: 52%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 8?

$1.7K

$725: 99%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 8, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 8, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?

EquitiesDaily20h

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Up 47%

Market quality

80 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$1.5K

Liquidity

$26.5K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

45.0% / 48.0%

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jul 7, 26, 12:00 PMJul 8, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Up47%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 8, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 8, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

Related Markets

S&P price on Jul 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?

7,575 or above: 1%

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?

Up: 48%

S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$4.1K

7,575 to 7,599.9999: 7%

Nasdaq-100 price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$3.9K

27,899.99 or below: 4%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?

$3.3K

Up: 52%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 8?

$1.7K

$725: 99%