KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: 7,455 or above (84%)
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,455 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability7,440 or above 91%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$175.7K
Liquidity
$102.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 99.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 7, 26, 8:00 PMJul 8, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
7,440 or above91%
7,500 or above1%
7,505 or above1%
7,485 or above21%
7,420 or above99%
7,415 or above0%
7,450 or above91%
7,455 or above84%
7,460 or above79%
7,425 or above99%
7,445 or above84%
7,495 or above2%
7,400 or above0%
7,465 or above65%
7,475 or above44%
7,510 or above2%
7,575 or above1%
7,470 or above58%
7,490 or above4%
7,430 or above99%
7,435 or above98%
7,480 or above31%
7,570 or above1%
7,375 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,560 or above2%
7,515 or above1%
7,380 or above0%
7,395 or above0%
7,520 or above17%
7,410 or above0%
7,525 or above31%
7,385 or above0%
7,530 or above10%
7,405 or above0%
7,390 or above0%
7,540 or above0%
7,550 or above0%
7,535 or above0%
7,645 or above0%
7,545 or above0%
7,590 or above0%
7,555 or above0%
7,565 or above0%
7,585 or above0%
7,595 or above0%
7,600 or above0%
7,605 or above0%
7,610 or above0%
7,615 or above0%
7,620 or above0%
7,625 or above0%
7,630 or above0%
7,635 or above0%
7,640 or above0%
7,650 or above0%
7,655 or above0%
7,660 or above0%
7,665 or above0%
7,670 or above0%
91%
1%
1%
21%
99%
95%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$175.7kJul 72d of dataJul 8
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If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 8, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7374.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on July 08, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 08, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 8, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7379.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.