SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?

S&P price on Jul 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?

$1.1K

7,620 or above: 1%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?

$308.6

Up: 57%

5,500.00 or higher?: 96.5%

S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026

$113.9

Nasdaq-100 price on Jul 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?

$97.4

29,360 or above: 56%

Will the S&P 500 close above 7000 on December 31, 2026?

$95.7

Yes: 77%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 6, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 6, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?

6.0% (24h)EquitiesDaily2d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Up 62%+0.1%

Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$641.9

Liquidity

$3.5K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

51.0% / 73.0%

Spread

43.1%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jul 2, 26, 12:00 PMJul 6, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Up62%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 6, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on July 6, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

Related Markets

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

$1.8K

Up: 65%

S&P price on Jul 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?

$1.1K

7,620 or above: 1%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?

$308.6

Up: 57%

5,500.00 or higher?: 96.5%

S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026

$113.9

Nasdaq-100 price on Jul 6, 2026 at 10am EDT?

$97.4

29,360 or above: 56%

Will the S&P 500 close above 7000 on December 31, 2026?

$95.7

Yes: 77%