What are the current odds for Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Feb 2, 2024, 7:01 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Nov 25, 23, 7:06 PMFeb 1, 24, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the surge in respiratory illnesses in China leads to a new global pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization.

If no new global pandemic is declared by the given date which was caused by Chinese respiratory illnesses, the market will resolve to "No."

Report a data issue with this market

Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Feb 2, 2024, 7:01 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Nov 25, 23, 7:06 PMFeb 1, 24, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the surge in respiratory illnesses in China leads to a new global pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization.

If no new global pandemic is declared by the given date which was caused by Chinese respiratory illnesses, the market will resolve to "No."

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? resolve?: Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2024.
How is Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the surge in respiratory illnesses in China leads to a new global pandemic as declared by the World Health Organization.