PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability$100M 100%+0.7ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$43.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+83.5 pts
Market data
Updated 38 days ago
StaleMar 10, 26, 9:54 PMJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM
Probability Timeline
$500M100%
$400M91%
$700M0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· $100M
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $43.1K | $0 | 38 days ago | |
 Limitless80% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $0 | $0 | 21 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Closed
99.9%
99.8%
99.8%
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$462.2
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
- "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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What will Opensea FDV be at 1 day after launch?
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When will MNX mainnet launch?
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StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
$2.9Yes: 18.1%LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSActive in these topics
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
- "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.