PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability$100M 100%+0.7ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$43.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+83.5 pts
Market data
Updated 38 days ago
StaleMar 10, 26, 9:54 PMJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM
Probability Timeline
$500M100%
$400M91%
$700M0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· $100M
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $43.1K | $0 | 38 days ago | |
 Limitless80% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $0 | $0 | 22 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Closed
99.9%
99.8%
99.8%
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$462.2
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
- "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$41.3K$50M: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$6.8K$50M: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$2.1K$100M: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Opensea FDV be at 1 day after launch?
$0$2,000,000,000+: 15%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will MNX mainnet launch?
$25March 2026: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
$8.7Yes: 17.1%LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSActive in these topics
Related News
BitMEX and BitMart may be first casualties of crypto trading slumpCoindesk
Europe’s Premier FX, Crypto & Fintech Event – Wiki Finance Expo Cyprus 2026 is Coming to Limassol This November!Blockchain Reporter
Single-Function Crypto Platforms Are Becoming Obsolete; Here’s What Is Replacing Them Blockchain Reporter
Fanatics to acquire BGC prediction market exchangeCrypto News
Psalion launches $50M blockchain venture fundCrypto News
Kraken parent buys wallet business powering 60 million usersCrypto NewsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of o1's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
- "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.