Current implied probability
Up 50%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$19
Low liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 92.0%
Spread
1050.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 7, 26, 12:00 PMJul 8, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Up50%
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Wednesday, July 8, 2026 is higher than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA (NYA) on Wednesday, July 8, 2026 is lower than the official NYSE Composite Index closing price for NYA on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If NYA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.