PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Orix Buffaloes (100%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 2:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Orix Buffaloes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Orix Buffaloes
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 2:46 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityFukuoka SoftBank Hawks 0%-0.6%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-50.0%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 1:02 PMJul 28, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks0%
Orix Buffaloes100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Orix Buffaloes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall75% match · auto | Medium | 88% | — | $200.6K | $145.5K | 8 hours ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $1.6K | $0 | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks
53.0%Closed
Resolved
Orix Buffaloes (88%)
+42.0%88%
-53.0%15%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$215.4K
24h Vol$200.6K
KALSHIRules
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 21 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks".
- If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.6k66.0%KALSHIOrix Buffaloes — Yes9h ago
KALSHIOrix Buffaloes — Yes9h ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes15h ago
KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes15h ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes15h ago
KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes15h ago$1.1k62.0%KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes15h ago
KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes15h agoVolume trend
$1.6kJul 202d of dataJul 21
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Rules
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 21 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks".
- If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.