This market resolved: Orix Buffaloes (88%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 12:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Orix Buffaloes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
46%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Orix Buffaloes
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 12:28 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityFukuoka Hawks 15%-53.0%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$200.6K
Liquidity
$145.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 16.0%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 18, 26, 4:10 AMJul 23, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Fukuoka Hawks15%
Orix Buffaloes88%
15%
88%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Orix Buffaloes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 88% | — | $200.6K | $145.5K | 5 hours ago | |
 Polymarket75% match · auto | Medium | 100% | — | $1.8K | $88.1K | 3 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes
57.5%Closed
Resolved
Orix Buffaloes (100%)
+0.6%100%
-0.6%0%
68 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.8K
24h Vol$1.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If Orix Buffaloes wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If the game ends in a tie the markets will resolve to 50/50.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.6k66.0%KALSHIOrix Buffaloes — Yes6h ago
KALSHIOrix Buffaloes — Yes6h ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes12h ago
KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes12h ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes12h ago
KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes12h ago$1.1k62.0%KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes12h ago
KALSHIFukuoka Hawks — Yes12h agoVolume trend
$200.6kJul 184d of dataJul 21
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If Orix Buffaloes wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If the game ends in a tie the markets will resolve to 50/50.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.