PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityUp 71%+0.3%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$198.3
Liquidity
$814.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
60.0% / 81.0%
Spread
35.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 12:00 PMJul 27, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Up71%
Volume trend
$198Jul 252d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on July 27, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on July 27, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.