Current implied probability
Chad Tracy 38.9%-1.0ptLeader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$66.3
Liquidity
$12K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
42.0% / 45.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-10.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 5:28 PMFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Chad Tracy44%
Compare venues· Chad Tracy
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Medium | 51% | 0pt | $36 | $39.5K | 24 minutes ago | Open → |
 PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 44% | -7pt | $66.3 | $12K | 4 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Boston: Next Manager
4mo
53.1%
10.4%
7.3%
+16 more outcomes
66 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$67.1K
24h Vol$36
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox.
- If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
- Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
- An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$66Jul 320d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox.
- If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
- Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
- An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Boston Red Sox; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.