Current implied probability
Chad Tracy 53.1%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$36
Liquidity
$39.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
51.0% / 52.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Apr 27, 26, 4:15 PMDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Chad Tracy51%
Compare venues· Chad Tracy
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 51% | 0pt | $36 | $39.5K | 27 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket88% match · verified | Medium | 44% | -7pt | $5 | $11.3K | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
MLB: Next Red Sox Manager
1.5 pts6mo
-0.5pt39.3%
8%
+1.5pt7.1%
+36 more outcomes
55 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$607.8K
24h Vol$5
POLYMARKETRules
If the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox is David Ortiz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If no permanent manager is selected before Dec 1, 2026, all markets resolve to No.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox is Nomar Garciaparra, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox is Pedro Martinez, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$36Jul 225d of dataJul 27
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If the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox is David Ortiz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If no permanent manager is selected before Dec 1, 2026, all markets resolve to No.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox is Nomar Garciaparra, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the next permanent manager of the Boston Red Sox is Pedro Martinez, then the market resolves to Yes.