Current implied probability
Kevin McGonigle 76%Leader of 46 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$113.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
12.9% / 13.0%
Spread
0.8%
Tight spread7d Change
+9.8%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Mar 26, 26, 9:16 PMDec 19, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kevin McGonigle76%
Compare venues· Kevin McGonigle
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 76% | +6pt | $2.8K | $113.5K | 14 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active90% match · verified | Medium | 70% | 0pt | $12.6K | $1.1M | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
AL Rookie of the Year Winner?
7.0%4mo
-1.0%70%
+7.0%16%
7%
+27 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$12.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$4.6k99.0%KALSHIColt Emerson — No3d ago
KALSHIColt Emerson — No3d agoVolume trend
$2.8kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.