PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
4°C or below 46%+7.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$690
Liquidity
$42.1K
High liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Austin on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 71 F on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 83° to 84°38.4%
- 81° to 82°33%
- 85° or above17.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $72K
- 24h Vol
- $72K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Atlanta+24.0pt99%
- Miami+12.0pt86%
- Seattle+9.0pt83%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026?
- 90° to 91°54.2%
- 88° to 89°22.4%
- 92° to 93°16.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.7K
- 24h Vol
- $28.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 12, 2026?
- 77° to 78°51.4%
- 75° to 76°26.2%
- 79° to 80°16.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26.4K
- 24h Vol
- $26.4K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 12, 2026?
- 101° to 102°48.6%
- 103° to 104°43%
- 99° to 100°3.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.7K
- 24h Vol
- $17.7K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
- 31°C+19.0pt49%
- 30°C-7.0pt26%
- 29°C-2.5pt10.6%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 13??
- Polymarket prices 4°C or below at 46% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 13? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 13? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 13? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.