PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
7°C or below 50%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.1K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
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PolymarketHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above+15.0pt95.2%
- 91° to 92°-12.0pt1%
- 89° to 90°-4.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $199.2K
- 24h Vol
- $137.7K
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 97 F on September 9, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Total Vol
- $117.4K
- 24h Vol
- $117.4K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
- 20°C+71.0pt97%
- 21°C-4.5pt2%
- 19°C-42.3pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
- 22°C+82.5pt86.3%
- 23°C-16.0pt11.8%
- 24°C-40.5pt2%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- 92° or above+33.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-14.0pt1%
- 90° to 91°-18.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
- 30°C+91.3pt99%
- 31°C-0.1pt1%
- 25°C or below-0.8pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
- Where will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 95 F on September 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 9, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 12??
- Polymarket prices 7°C or below at 50% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 12? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 12? is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 12? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.