PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 0°C
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 11:18 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
0°C97%
-1°C0%
-3°C0%
1°C0%
2°C3%
3°C0%
4°C1%
-2°C0%
-4°C1%
0°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
-1°CLost
Before close: 1% ·
-2°CLost
Before close: 2% ·
-3°CLost
Before close: 1% ·
-4°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
1°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
2°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
3°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
4°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) on 27 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.