PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedAwaiting verified resolution: 25°C
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
25°C 98%+61.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
25°C 98%+61.5ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$512
Liquidity
$9.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$641.7
Spread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 26, 4:30 AM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
25°C98%
23°C1%
24°C1%
19°C or below0%
20°C0%
21°C0%
22°C0%
26°C0%
27°C0%
28°C0%
29°C or higher0%
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport (ZGSZ) on 28 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport (ZGSZ) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.