PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 16°C
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 3:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
16°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
20%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
16°C20%
15°C37%
14°C7%
13°C2%
10°C1%
11°C1%
12°C0%
17°C2%
18°C1%
19°C or higher1%
9°C or below0%
16°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
13°CLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°C or higherLost
9°C or belowLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Incheon Intl Airport (RKSI) on 26 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Incheon Intl Airport (RKSI) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
